“一带一路”倡议对中国茶叶出口的影响——基于渐进双重差分模型的实证分析

Abstract

Abstract: The “Belt and Road” Initiative is a great opportunity for China's tea export. But the existing literatures are short of the evaluation of the policy effect. Based on the panel data of China and 40 major tea importing countries and regions, the difference-in-difference model (Generalized DID) was used to evaluate the promote effect of the “Belt and Road” Initiative to China's tea export. The results show that under the control of other variables, the “Belt and Road” Initiative had a positive effect to promote the growth of the export value of China's tea. Products heterogeneity analysis shows that the “Belt and Road” Initiative significantly promoted the export growth of green tea, but it had no significant effect on black tea. In addition, among the control variables, the improvement of per capital GDP and economic openness could significantly promote the export growth of China's tea. Finally, some suggestions were put forward for China's tea export trade to seize the opportunity.

Key words: China, tea export, the “Belt and Road” Initiative, generalized DID

CLC Number:

WANG Chunxiao, GAO Feng, CHEN Fuqiao, ZENG Liang. Did the “Belt and Road” Initiative Promote the Export of China's tea? ——An Empirical Study Based on the Generalized DID[J]. Journal of Tea Science, 2021, 41(6): 865-875.

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Did the “Belt and Road” Initiative Promote the Export of China's tea? ——An Empirical Study Based on the Generalized DID

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